St. Pölten II vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
9º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KOT
3 - 2
STP
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
ZWE
1 - 0
STP
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STP
2 - 3
SVR
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SCU
3 - 3
STP
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 1
ZWE
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 3
SVG
11%
23%
66%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 0
ARD
24%
24%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCU
0 - 1
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 0
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
SCO
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |