St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
31
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
SPG
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
LAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SPG
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
USS
0 - 0
ESO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 0
USS
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
USS
0 - 3
ANG
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
USS
1 - 0
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 3
USS
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |