St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
SPG
55%
21%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
THO
1 - 3
LEP
29%
27%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 2
THO
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
THO
4 - 1
CHA
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
THO
1 - 1
USS
35%
28%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STP
2 - 0
THO
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |