St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs ESOFV La Roche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
28
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
SPG
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 2
SPG
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 3
LPS
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
4 - 0
SPG
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 0
FON
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESO
0 - 0
LAV
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
ESO
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 0
LEM
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LPS
3 - 1
ESO
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |