St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
6º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 1
SPG
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
LSD
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 2
STL
7%
14%
79%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 2
SPG
26%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 1
NIO
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
ACG
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 2
LSD
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
ACG
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |