Saint-Pauloise vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
PAU
41%
27%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 1
TAM
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SDF
3 - 1
PAU
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 1
PIE
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PAU
2 - 1
EXC
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXC
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
JEA
2 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAR
7 - 1
FCP
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |