St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
7º
6º
26
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
PAU
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAU
57%
19%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 5
WOL
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 6
PAU
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
WBR
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 1
BAK
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
UBE
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
HAN
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |