St. Pauli U19 vs Holstein Kiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
7º
6º
10
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 2
PAU
62%
18%
21%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
UBE
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
PAU
47%
21%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAU
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 5
WOL
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAN
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
WOL
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
VIK
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |