St. Pauli II vs Jeddeloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9º
18º
10º
38
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
BRE
41%
23%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
STP
1 - 3
LUB
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 0
STP
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 2
WEI
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 4
STP
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Jeddeloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
JED
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
JED
3 - 0
WER
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
JED
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JED
1 - 1
BWL
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
JED
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |