St. Neots Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Neots Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
STN
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
HIT
2 - 2
STN
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STN
0 - 1
FAR
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
STN
4 - 2
STE
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 0
STN
52%
22%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
SLO
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
TIV
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KIN
3 - 3
HER
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
WIN
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |