St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1917 |
HIB
2 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1917 |
KIL
1 - 4
STM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1916 |
STM
1 - 0
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1916 |
FAL
0 - 2
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1916 |
STM
1 - 0
AIR
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1917 |
KIL
0 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1917 |
GRE
2 - 1
KIL
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1917 |
KIL
1 - 4
STM
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1916 |
DUN
0 - 2
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1916 |
KIL
3 - 0
RAI
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |