SPL Round 4

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis

St. Mirren Kilmarnock
64 ELO 68
3% Tilt -6.2%
586º General ELO ranking 529º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
60%
St. Mirren
22.3%
Draw
17.7%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+4%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1914
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
39%
27%
34%
65 79 14 0
07 Nov. 1914
TLA
Third Lanark
0 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
78%
15%
7%
64 83 19 +1
31 Oct. 1914
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 4
Greenock Morton
GRE
33%
25%
41%
65 79 14 -1
24 Oct. 1914
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
63%
22%
16%
65 67 2 0
17 Oct. 1914
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
70%
18%
12%
65 70 5 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1914
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
68%
19%
14%
69 71 2 0
07 Nov. 1914
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
45%
26%
28%
69 83 14 0
31 Oct. 1914
DUN
Dundee
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
77%
15%
8%
69 83 14 0
24 Oct. 1914
KIL
Kilmarnock
5 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
56%
22%
22%
68 69 1 +1
17 Oct. 1914
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
62%
21%
17%
68 68 0 0