SPL Round 3

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis

St. Mirren Kilmarnock
77 ELO 62
-11.6% Tilt -4.8%
578º General ELO ranking 529º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
78.9%
St. Mirren
13.3%
Draw
7.8%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
St. Mirren
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+3%
-4%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 1908
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 1
Port Glasgow Athletic
PGA
86%
10%
5%
77 56 21 0
19 Sep. 1908
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
78%
13%
9%
76 83 7 +1
12 Sep. 1908
STM
St. Mirren
5 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
72%
16%
12%
76 68 8 0
05 Sep. 1908
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
77%
13%
9%
75 83 8 +1
29 Aug. 1908
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
34%
24%
42%
75 83 8 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 1908
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
72%
17%
11%
63 74 11 0
19 Sep. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
48%
24%
29%
62 70 8 +1
12 Sep. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Rangers
GLA
17%
20%
63%
63 83 20 -1
05 Sep. 1908
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
77%
13%
10%
62 68 6 +1
29 Aug. 1908
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
34%
25%
41%
63 78 15 -1