SPL Round 5

St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

St. Mirren Heart of Midlothian
76 ELO 82
10% Tilt 9.3%
583º General ELO ranking 472º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.8%
St. Mirren
23.2%
Draw
45.9%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.9%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
+14%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1904
PGA
Port Glasgow Athletic
0 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
26%
24%
50%
76 65 11 0
19 Nov. 1904
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
36%
25%
40%
75 71 4 +1
12 Nov. 1904
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 0
Rangers
GLA
27%
22%
51%
74 83 9 +1
05 Nov. 1904
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
35%
25%
40%
73 83 10 +1
29 Oct. 1904
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
28%
24%
48%
74 64 10 -1

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1904
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
6 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
70%
18%
13%
83 70 13 0
26 Nov. 1904
TLA
Third Lanark
7 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
36%
23%
41%
83 81 2 0
19 Nov. 1904
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Port Glasgow Athletic
PGA
73%
16%
11%
83 66 17 0
12 Nov. 1904
DUN
Dundee
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
29%
24%
47%
83 76 7 0
05 Nov. 1904
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 5
Rangers
GLA
55%
21%
24%
83 83 0 0