St. Michael vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 1
MIC
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
TRE
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
WOL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 2
MIC
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MIC
3 - 3
SPI
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 0
RAP
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 3
LEN
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KUH
0 - 2
RAP
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 0
KMD
29%
25%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
RAP
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |