St. Margrethen vs Amriswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
SIR
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SEU
2 - 1
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WID
1 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 1
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 1
AMR
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AMR
1 - 2
WID
23%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
AMR
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AMR
3 - 0
KRE
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 1
AMR
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |