St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 1
STL
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
STL
0 - 0
CFC
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
STL
2 - 1
CFC
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +3 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
KCF
2 - 1
STL
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
STL
0 - 2
DES
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
5%
2%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
5%
2%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
KCF
2 - 1
THU
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
CFC
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |