St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
STL
1 - 0
REA
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
STL
1 - 2
WSA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
STL
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
REA
1 - 1
STL
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
STL
1 - 0
DES
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SPR
0 - 2
THU
11%
20%
70%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
THU
5 - 2
SPR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
SPR
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
DES
0 - 2
THU
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
DES
0 - 2
THU
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |