St. Joseph's vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
GLA
0 - 4
JOS
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LRI
1 - 0
JOS
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
JOS
4 - 2
GIB
92%
7%
1%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COC
0 - 3
JOS
2%
10%
88%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
3 - 3
SHA
94%
5%
1%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
LIO
3 - 2
SAC
92%
7%
1%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
LIO
4 - 1
MUR
92%
7%
1%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
LIO
1 - 5
GIB
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
LIO
0 - 10
GUR
94%
5%
1%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2007 |
LIO
0 - 1
SCG
94%
5%
1%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |