St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STM
0 - 3
STJ
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 0
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STJ
3 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
43%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOM
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 2
STM
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GLA
1 - 2
HOM
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 2
DUN
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |