St. Johnstone vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
12º
10º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 0
STJ
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
ROS
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 2
MHE
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 1
KIL
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
STJ
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CEL
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
6 - 0
ABE
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ATM
6 - 0
CEL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 3
CEL
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |