St. Johnstone vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
STJ
2 - 0
VAS
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
PAR
2 - 1
STJ
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
STJ
5 - 1
MHE
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
CEL
0 - 1
STJ
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
STJ
3 - 0
HSV
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
AYR
0 - 1
CLY
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
AIR
3 - 4
AYR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
HIB
1 - 0
AYR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |