St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
WOL
19%
22%
60%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 0
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
STG
0 - 1
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
STG
2 - 2
YOB
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |