St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 3
STG
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
YVE
1 - 0
STG
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
STG
7 - 1
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
YOB
1 - 0
STG
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
STG
1 - 1
GCZ
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
SCH
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |