St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
STG
3 - 3
FCA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 2
STG
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
FEY
32%
22%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 3
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 3
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
FTC
1 - 2
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |