Union St. Florian vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 1
STF
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
STF
3 - 3
KAL
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SKA
2 - 0
STF
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
STF
0 - 0
VOC
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
STF
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
STU
1 - 4
KLA
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KAP
1 - 0
STU
42%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
STU
1 - 3
GKN
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SVP
6 - 0
STU
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
STU
2 - 2
LAS
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |