Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 21

Ulm U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Ulm U19 Mainz 05 U19
25 ELO 26
4.6% Tilt 4.7%
14459º General ELO ranking 8529º
623º Country ELO ranking 419º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Ulm U19
23.9%
Draw
37.6%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
Ulm U19
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ulm U19
+24%
+8%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Ulm U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ulm U19
Ulm U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2005
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
0 - 3
Ulm U19
SSU
66%
19%
14%
22 33 11 0
09 Apr. 2005
SSU
Ulm U19
0 - 5
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
20%
22%
57%
24 41 17 -2
03 Apr. 2005
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
4 - 2
Ulm U19
SSU
75%
16%
9%
24 41 17 0
19 Mar. 2005
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
4 - 0
Ulm U19
SSU
69%
18%
13%
24 37 13 0
06 Mar. 2005
SSU
Ulm U19
2 - 0
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
35%
24%
41%
23 29 6 +1

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
59%
21%
21%
27 26 1 0
10 Apr. 2005
MUN
1860 München U19
5 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
71%
17%
12%
28 39 11 -1
03 Apr. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 4
Darmstadt 98 U19
DAR
82%
12%
6%
29 16 13 -1
19 Mar. 2005
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
5 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
44%
24%
32%
31 28 3 -2
13 Mar. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 3
Unterhaching U19
UNT
82%
12%
6%
33 18 15 -2