Ulm U19 vs Bayern München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
74.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
6º
38
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 1
SSU
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
4 - 2
MUN
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 0
SSU
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
GRE
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
SSU
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
BYM
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
UNT
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 1
BYM
18%
17%
66%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 8
BYM
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
BYM
8%
13%
80%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |