Neustift vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neustift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
REI
6 - 0
SSV
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SSV
4 - 1
KUN
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAT
4 - 0
SSV
91%
7%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SSV
0 - 2
FUG
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
KIT
5 - 1
SSV
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
KIR
1 - 0
REU
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
KIR
53%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
KIR
0 - 4
KIT
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
KIR
1 - 2
REI
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
KIR
0 - 2
HAL
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |