SSV Merten vs Herkenrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GKS
3 - 5
MER
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MER
2 - 2
FVE
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 0
MER
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MER
5 - 0
SVD
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FVW
1 - 2
MER
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
IHN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
WES
1 - 4
HER
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
ALT
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
VLR
1 - 5
HER
14%
18%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 2
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |