Leningradets Gatchina vs Tosno analysis


29	ELO	61
0.3%	Tilt	3.3%
8299º	General ELO ranking	22213º
118º	Country ELO ranking	204º
ELO win probability

14.2%

Leningradets Gatchina

21.4%

Draw

64.4%

Tosno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

14.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%

21.4%

Draw

0-0

7.1%

1-1

10.1%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

21.4%

64.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+128%

-10%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

2º

5º

2º

10

2º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	22	31	1º	100%
2º	21	30	2º	100%
3º	17	20	3º	100%
4º	10	16	4º	100%
5º	9	12	5º	100%
6º	7	10	6º	100%
7º	4	4	7º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leningradets Gatchina

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Jul. 2023	SEV 3 - 0 SLG 80% 12% 8%	28	46	18	0
24 Jun. 2023	PSK 0 - 2 SLG 53% 22% 26%	27	33	6	+1
10 Jun. 2023	KKO 0 - 2 SLG 35% 21% 43%	26	22	4	+1
27 May. 2023	SLG 3 - 0 KAR 40% 23% 37%	24	28	4	+2
24 May. 2023	TOS 1 - 6 SLG 80% 14% 6%	22	62	40	+2

Matches

Tosno

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Jul. 2023	SVZ 2 - 3 TOS 13% 21% 66%	61	22	39	0
04 Jul. 2023	TOS 3 - 4 KKO 87% 10% 3%	61	19	42	0
21 Jun. 2023	TOS 3 - 2 KAR 81% 14% 5%	61	27	34	0
07 Jun. 2023	PSK 0 - 0 TOS 11% 21% 69%	61	31	30	0
31 May. 2023	TOS 1 - 4 SEV 75% 16% 8%	62	42	20	-1