Serie D Group D Round 8

Zenith Prato vs Progresso analysis

Zenith Prato Progresso
12 ELO 36
-4.8% Tilt 0.1%
9190º General ELO ranking 5851º
334º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
15%
Zenith Prato
20%
Draw
65.1%
Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
Zenith Prato
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.1%
Win probability
Progresso
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zenith Prato
+685%
+28%
Progresso

Points and table prediction

Zenith Prato
Their league position
Progresso
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
17º
12º
41
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Forli
84
84
100%
Ravenna FC
74
74
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Tau Calcio
63
63
100%
Pistoiese
61
61
100%
Imolese
53
53
100%
Cittadella Vis Modena
47
47
100%
Prato
42
42
100%
Piacenza
42
42
0%
Tuttocuoio
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Progresso
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Zenith Prato
17º
23
38
12º
0%
San Marino Calcio
12º
38
38
13º
0%
Sasso Marconi
13º
37
37
14º
100%
Corticella
14º
36
36
15º
100%
Sammaurese
15º
31
31
16º
100%
Fiorenzuola
16º
26
26
17º
100%
Riccione
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zenith Prato
Progresso
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zenith Prato
Progresso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zenith Prato
Zenith Prato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
ZEN
Zenith Prato
1 - 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
CIT
31%
22%
48%
9 12 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
SAM
Sammaurese
1 - 2
Zenith Prato
ZEN
77%
15%
8%
7 40 33 +2
28 Sep. 2024
ZEN
Zenith Prato
0 - 1
Tau Calcio
ASD
9%
14%
77%
8 50 42 -1
22 Sep. 2024
ZEN
Zenith Prato
0 - 3
Forli
FOR
12%
17%
71%
9 47 38 -1
15 Sep. 2024
SAN
San Marino Calcio
2 - 2
Zenith Prato
ZEN
86%
9%
5%
9 41 32 0

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
RIC
Riccione
1 - 1
Progresso
PRO
57%
21%
22%
36 40 4 0
06 Oct. 2024
PRO
Progresso
0 - 0
Piacenza
PIA
8%
18%
73%
36 57 21 0
28 Sep. 2024
IMO
Imolese
1 - 0
Progresso
PRO
62%
23%
15%
36 44 8 0
22 Sep. 2024
PRO
Progresso
0 - 2
Pistoiese
PIS
44%
24%
32%
37 36 1 -1
15 Sep. 2024
TUT
Tuttocuoio
1 - 0
Progresso
PRO
15%
22%
64%
38 23 15 -1