Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
VCB
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
USB
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 2
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
VCB
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 0
OLG
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 3
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ADB
2 - 1
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 3
SDA
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GSD
1 - 4
CAL
27%
22%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |