Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
8º
56
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
VCB
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 1
VIL
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
VCB
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 2
USB
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
VCB
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 2
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ADR
4 - 4
ARC
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 3
GER
31%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ACL
2 - 1
ARC
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |