Città di Castello vs ACD Guidonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 0
SSD
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SSD
3 - 1
SGP
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 2
SSD
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SSD
3 - 0
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SSD
1 - 0
DER
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
2 - 3
ASD
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
ACD
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 0
ASD
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ACD
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |