Virtus Lanciano vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
VIR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
GEN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 1
CTT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 3
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |