Virtus Lanciano vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 0
VIR
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 3
CES
25%
29%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TER
2 - 2
VIR
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 2
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 3
JUS
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
SPE
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |