Sambenedettese vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 1
SSS
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 4
SSS
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
0 - 0
VIS
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
VIS
2 - 2
VIR
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 0
CRO
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PES
2 - 0
VIR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |