Sambenedettese vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
SSS
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
REG
0 - 2
SSS
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
SSS
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASG
0 - 2
SSS
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 5
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
BV5
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |