Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
SSS
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 3
SSS
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 3
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
SSS
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABN
80%
15%
5%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 4
PAR
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
VNZ
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAR
15%
23%
62%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACL
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |