Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
31%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
EMP
0 - 0
SSS
57%
28%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 1
COS
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
VER
5 - 0
SSS
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
SSB
4 - 1
SSS
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
SSS
1 - 1
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
PAR
2 - 1
AVE
35%
31%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
53%
29%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAR
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |