Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
3 - 0
SSS
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAD
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
PRO
36%
30%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 3
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |