Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 4
SSS
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
0 - 0
VIS
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SAS
1 - 0
SSS
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SSS
3 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FER
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 1
FER
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
FER
1 - 0
SAS
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
GIU
3 - 0
FER
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FER
2 - 2
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |