Sambenedettese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
33%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33%
26%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
3 - 1
SSS
60%
26%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
29%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
REG
3 - 0
SSS
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 1
PES
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
28%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
52%
30%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |