Sambenedettese vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 3
SSS
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
GIU
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OLY
3 - 3
SSS
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
REC
1 - 2
SSS
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SSS
3 - 2
ISE
75%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
GIU
53%
24%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 2
ANC
21%
25%
55%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |