Serie C round 5

Sambenedettese vs Padova analysis

Sambenedettese Padova
55 ELO 59
-0.2% Tilt 11.9%
2572º General ELO ranking 818º
86º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Sambenedettese
26.1%
Draw
31.4%
Padova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Sambenedettese
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
Padova
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sambenedettese
+13%
+2%
Padova

ELO progression

Sambenedettese
Padova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sambenedettese
Sambenedettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2017
FER
Fermana
2 - 0
Sambenedettese
SSS
20%
24%
57%
57 47 10 0
17 Sep. 2017
ASG
AS Gubbio 1910
0 - 2
Sambenedettese
SSS
28%
25%
47%
56 49 7 +1
10 Sep. 2017
SSS
Sambenedettese
3 - 2
Feralpisalò
FER
54%
24%
22%
55 51 4 +1
06 Aug. 2017
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Sambenedettese
SSS
71%
18%
11%
54 73 19 +1
30 Jul. 2017
SSS
Sambenedettese
2 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
58%
23%
19%
53 49 4 +1

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2017
PAD
Padova
0 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
36%
28%
36%
58 64 6 0
03 Sep. 2017
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Fano
FAN
61%
23%
16%
57 51 6 +1
27 Aug. 2017
REN
Renate
3 - 0
Padova
PAD
24%
28%
49%
58 50 8 -1
06 Aug. 2017
BRE
Brescia
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
65%
20%
15%
58 65 7 0
30 Jul. 2017
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Rende
REN
65%
21%
14%
57 47 10 +1