Serie B round 4

Sambenedettese vs Padova analysis

Sambenedettese Padova
60 ELO 65
-14.5% Tilt -13.7%
2620º General ELO ranking 813º
87º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Sambenedettese
32.1%
Draw
24.7%
Padova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Sambenedettese
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
24.7%
Win probability
Padova
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sambenedettese
+6%
-4%
Padova

ELO progression

Sambenedettese
Padova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sambenedettese
Sambenedettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 1987
MOD
Modena
2 - 2
Sambenedettese
SSS
46%
30%
24%
60 53 7 0
20 Sep. 1987
SSS
Sambenedettese
1 - 0
Lecce
LEC
39%
32%
29%
59 67 8 +1
13 Sep. 1987
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Sambenedettese
SSS
61%
25%
14%
60 63 3 -1
06 Sep. 1987
CEN
Centese
4 - 5
Sambenedettese
SSS
45%
25%
30%
60 14 46 0
02 Sep. 1987
SSS
Sambenedettese
2 - 1
Empoli
EMP
41%
28%
32%
60 68 8 0

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 1987
PAD
Padova
3 - 0
Brescia
BRE
53%
28%
20%
64 66 2 0
20 Sep. 1987
GEN
Genoa
0 - 1
Padova
PAD
56%
27%
17%
63 63 0 +1
13 Sep. 1987
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
55%
26%
20%
63 63 0 0
06 Sep. 1987
PAD
Padova
4 - 5
Udinese
UDI
39%
25%
36%
63 74 11 0
02 Sep. 1987
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
79%
14%
7%
64 86 22 -1