Serie D Italia - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals

Cavese 1919 vs Casarano analysis

Cavese 1919 Casarano
55 ELO 47
-10.5% Tilt 5.9%
2593º General ELO ranking 2331º
92º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Cavese 1919
23.3%
Draw
18.2%
Casarano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Cavese 1919
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
Casarano
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Cavese 1919
Casarano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cavese 1919
Cavese 1919
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
BRI
Brindisi
3 - 1
Cavese 1919
CAV
30%
27%
43%
56 53 3 0
07 May. 2023
CAV
Cavese 1919
6 - 1
Nocerina
NOC
75%
18%
8%
55 40 15 +1
30 Apr. 2023
BRI
Brindisi
1 - 0
Cavese 1919
CAV
27%
27%
46%
56 52 4 -1
23 Apr. 2023
CAV
Cavese 1919
1 - 2
Martina Franca
MAR
70%
19%
11%
56 41 15 0
16 Apr. 2023
VIR
Casarano
1 - 1
Cavese 1919
CAV
19%
24%
57%
56 47 9 0

Matches

Casarano
Casarano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
USB
USD Bitonto
2 - 2
Casarano
VIR
27%
27%
47%
48 40 8 0
30 Apr. 2023
VIR
Casarano
1 - 0
FC Francavilla 1931
FCF
58%
24%
19%
48 40 8 0
23 Apr. 2023
GLA
Gladiator
0 - 0
Casarano
VIR
22%
26%
52%
47 39 8 +1
16 Apr. 2023
VIR
Casarano
1 - 1
Cavese 1919
CAV
19%
24%
57%
47 56 9 0
06 Apr. 2023
NAR
Nardò
2 - 0
Casarano
VIR
46%
26%
28%
48 49 1 -1