Cavese 1919 vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
USV
4 - 1
CAV
20%
27%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAV
2 - 0
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
CAV
22%
26%
53%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
4 - 3
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
RIB
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 2
ACP
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |