Cassino vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACI
0 - 2
SSC
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SSC
1 - 0
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
SSC
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SSC
1 - 3
FCC
54%
26%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SSM
0 - 2
SSC
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
SIR
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASM
39%
26%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
RAA
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 1
ASM
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 3
BRI
17%
24%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |